OAKSY Doggies Tips

[moeee]

But I am good at TIER 3

you are inferring from that that you are no good at NOT Tier 3.
What evidence do you have that you are Not Good at Not Tier 3 ?

I mean , I can say I hate chinese food or Russian food or whatever , but unless I actually try it HATING it is just plain wrong.
I mean I cannot say these foods are no good , all I can say is I choose not to eat them , especially when there are an infinite variety of other foods available.

I myself prefer better quality Fields , as my handicapping is based on my knowledge of the dogs in the race.
I cannot handicap a race of animals I have never heard of.
I pride myself on my handicapping ability.
Pretty sure I am one of the best , if not the best handicapper on the Internet.
But if I tried messin' with the races you mess with oaksnaf , my results would be worse than yours.

[mighty_tiger_79]

Nothing for Angle Pk.
Just a watch on starbooost in r8. Massive up in grade

[Phil]

Some mighty tall claims here today regards to handicapping ability.

Leaves us pedestrians way behind.
Gl to him.

[Oaksnaf]

HEALESVILLE

RACE 1

8 ARCTIC BLAZE $3.74
2 BUGS BOLONEY $5.12
7 SHAKEY BENZ $6.33
3 SWEET SASSAFRAS $7.81
6 LA FLAIR $11.90
1 CHADS BIG BOY $13.22
4 SCOTT FAITH $18.14
5 KING FAROUK $27.65

[Oaksnaf]

W'BOOL

OUTLAY: $724
RETURN: $216.65
P/L: -$507.35

WARRAGUL

OUTLAY: $1,513
RETURN: $1,825.4
P/L: $312.40

TOTAL
OUTLAY: $13,350
P/L: $1,728.05
POT: 13%

Still working above where we aim to be. 5% POT.

[Oaksnaf]

BENDIGO - Will amend after Scratchings

RACE 1

7 BIDE TIME $3.42
2 ALL IN RUM $5.80
8 UP AND ADAM $7.16
1 OVER THE RADAR $7.96
3 WHATS UP TRUMPS $8.84
6 CASH CAR STAR $12.13
5 DR VALHALLA $20.53
4 ZELEMAR ZONE $38.64

RACE 2

2 PARSNIP $3.71
3 HARLEM SHAKE $5.08
5 MOORE OF DARCY $6.28
8 WHATS TO LIKE $7.75
1 GINGER WARRIOR $9.57
4 VANDERVILLE $11.81
6 DRAPER BALE $27.43
7 IMA TOMAHAWK $51.62

RACE 3

1 TANTANOOLA $3.62
7 PROPER BLUEY $4.47
8 SHELLINGTON $6.81
2 NEV TIME $7.56
4 TAIL PIPE $11.53
5 DR TORETTO $12.81
3 SHIFTY JOSHUA $29.75
6 WALK ON BY $45.35

RACE 4

2 RICKETY GATE $3.45
7 IL BACARO $5.25
5 ALLEN JEER $5.84
6 GOLDEN WARRIOR $7.21
8 BLACK MUMBO $9.89
1 COURSING BALE $16.74
3 DR SHIKI $31.50
4 COUNTRY BALLAD $59.28

RACE 5

3 COSMIC SPUR $3.74
8 JAIMANDY HATTY $4.15
6 YANONG $5.70
2 FUNDA FAULT $7.03
5 GELWIX $11.91
4 BIG BAD BONE $20.17
1 ULTIMATE JACK $46.86
7 COSMIC JEWELS $52.07

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 7

4 NANGAR FOX $3.67
2 TIMES UP TOM $4.54
1 ATARAXIA $6.91
8 ASTROLOGY $7.68
7 BOLONEY CLUB $9.49
6 BAALUK $13.01
5 DR COMPUSLION $19.83

RACE 8

3 MACEY BLUE $4.16
8 MISS ROSSI $4.62
5 CRACKERJACK MAX $5.70
7 DR PHIL $8.69
6 SAINTLY MISS $10.73
2 ZELEMAR DOLL $14.72
1 TERRORIZER $18.17
4 FIRECETTE $27.69

[Sydney43]

Looks like I have been approved.

[Sydney43]

Hey Oaks , do you do video review of the T3 dogs meetings as part of your analysis?

[Oaksnaf]

Hey Oaks , do you do video review of the T3 dogs meetings as part of your analysis?

Hi Sydney43.

It is a bit of a combination of form/video/kennel/box draw.
I have certain fields I really target in my form analysis for each track/distance.

Each race is different. Hard to say what factor I use the most. If anything, probably my bias towards what is a beginners race, or a swoopers race. And that depends on all the individual form.

How do you assess these races?

[Oaksnaf]

BALLARAT TIER 3 ACTION

RACE 1

6 ALIS TITLE $3.61
7 MY NAMES RHONDA $4.46
3 MIGHTY DUCK $6.12
1 FLOWERING ROSE $10.36
5 TALTARINI SHIRAZ $12.79
2 KEVS CHOICE $14.21
4 WADDLESWORTH $17.55
8 BASH BOY RAY $29.72

RACE 2

7 PURE SACRIFICE $4.07
3 BOOMER $5.03
2 TAMILE LASS $5.59
1 MARCUS DAKING $6.90
8 ME TIME $9.46
4 SHAKE EM UP $14.42
6 ROSIES REBEL $27.13
5 TIGER JONES $51.05

RACE 3

1 MIDORI MISS $3.78
6 CATWEASLE $4.20
5 PATCHIE BEAR $6.41
2 IMA TERROR $7.12
7 MR BANKS $9.77
3 RED GOLD $18.38
4 GENERALS GIRL $42.69
8 BOBBY DILLON $47.43

RACE 4

6 BEFORE MY TIME $3.44
2 BLAZIN BEAU $5.82
8 SATIN ICE $6.46
3 LITTLE FERRET $7.98
4 GUNMETAL OUTLAW $10.95
1 RAMPAGING ROSIE $13.52
5 BEVS GIRL $16.69
7 AMBER DIANE $31.40

RACE 5

2 INHOUSE MANDY $3.94
1 EVENING MAJOR $4.87
6 VANE BLUE $6.68
8 MR ALOUETTE $8.25
7 NIKON BALE $10.18
5 OUR NICO $13.97
4 LITTLE BIT MORE $17.24
3 TANTRUM TOMMY $23.65

RACE 6

7 NEW JOB JIMMY $4.37
2 PASON SANDER $4.86
3 OSCAR DE SNOWMAN $6.00
8 HES YOUR MATE $6.67
6 VELOCITY ALICE $9.14
1 COOLY QUEEN $15.48
5 UNTHER BALE $21.24
4 INITIAL FACTOR $35.97

RACE 7

3 WOBBLER $3.53
8 ZELEMAR LEAP $4.35
2 REX ON $7.37
4 SANSMAN $9.10
6 WILLOWVALE HAWK $10.12
7 SLIPAWAY ANNA $13.88
5 PARAGON DIAMOND $23.50
1 UNCONTROLLABLE $35.82

[Sydney43]

Oaks I have done all the 450mtrs , R7 wobbler picks it self, has the stats to lead this field, the two turn circle starts looked to have taken a toll on it , I have the 2 as the next best with the 4 looking to return to form, the 4 has best time overall but since returning from spell has not looked interested in the run to T1, I have the outside dogs as being weak and will need to clear right across field to show up for mine.

[Sydney43]

Race 8 will be interesting , the early speed dogs drawn in 1-2 both prefer to get off the track, and the other early speed dog in the 8 will try come across and cut off the 7 by the look of it. Maybe the 2 makes the race for the 1 dog or the 3 swings in behind them and tries to runs them down , but it has a habit of swinging very wide at the exit of t1

[Oaksnaf]

Race 8 will be interesting , the early speed dogs drawn in 1-2 both prefer to get off the track, and the other early speed dog in the 8 will try come across and cut off the 7 by the look of it. Maybe the 2 makes the race for the 1 dog or the 3 swings in behind them and tries to runs them down , but it has a habit of swinging very wide at the exit of t1

I have Cruisin Billy clearing Cosmic Shez. We know what BOX 8 does at 450m for Ballarat. I wouldn't be too fussed about Cosmic Shez Box 8 record which is what some may look for.

You are right about it being an interesting race. I will be staying out of the wagering in this one. As I cannot find a definitive form line. If anything I still have 7 on top from 3 and 2.

[Oaksnaf]

Oaks I have done all the 450mtrs , R7 wobbler picks it self, has the stats to lead this field, the two turn circle starts looked to have taken a toll on it , I have the 2 as the next best with the 4 looking to return to form, the 4 has best time overall but since returning from spell has not looked interested in the run to T1, I have the outside dogs as being weak and will need to clear right across field to show up for mine.

Paragon Diamond is the interesting runner which is who may ruin the exotics for me. Well probably will to be honest.
There is no pace in this race. Should suit outside. They might cramp at T1 on inside.

[Oaksnaf]

BENDIGO

OUTLAY: $817
RETURN: $773.20
P/L: -$43.80

TOTAL
OUTLAY; $14,167
P/L: $1,684.25

[Sydney43]

PD for mine struggles at these types of distances and being a wide runner doesn't help it cause, I feel the 6 cuts it straight off at the start

[Sydney43]

Did you check all the dogs form in Race 3 ?

[Oaksnaf]

Did you check all the dogs form in Race 3 ?

I just picked the numbers out of a few hats.
Can't win them all. Just hope end out on top in the long run.

[Sydney43]

lol good one interesting kennel change the 8 dog, in its early part career had run ok , they took it into town , now the change of trainer, he has a habit of when his small team win they are shorter then their form justify's