by mighty_tiger_79 » Fri Jun 17, 2011 1:47 pm
by OnSong » Fri Jun 17, 2011 1:49 pm
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:interesting
i used a couple of sites for the computer predictions
couple of differences
essendon 19/kangas 7
melbourne 6/freo 6 - i may have $1 or $2 on the draw
by mighty_tiger_79 » Fri Jun 17, 2011 2:08 pm
by mighty_tiger_79 » Fri Jun 17, 2011 2:23 pm
by Bum Crack » Fri Jun 17, 2011 2:34 pm
by Trader » Sun Jun 19, 2011 2:11 pm
Mr_Willy wrote:Sorry I don't agree..
Think Gold Coast at the line is the bet of the weekend.... Down in Tassie with their fickle cold weather anything could happen... Don't think it pertains to being a high scoring game.... +68.5... Yes thank you...
by lebron » Sun Jun 19, 2011 3:01 pm
by gadj1976 » Sun Jun 19, 2011 5:39 pm
by OnSong » Sun Jun 19, 2011 8:11 pm
OnSong wrote:Trader wrote:OnSong wrote:I'll get to a round preview later tonight. Peaking about the AFL site only just putting up the teams. Hopefully can turn a leaner week into something a little more profitable!
OnSong, they were up around 4:45 when I checked, you just had to go to the news section. There wasn't a link on the main page till after 5 though.
F**k it!! Lol
So many close games this week, it might be worth sitting this round out!! Haha!
Game 1: Western Bulldogs v Adelaide
The Crows are such a rabble. So are the Bullies. Analysing the teams, Bulldogs midfield of Hudson (ruck), Cooney, Boyd and Griffin against Jacobs (ruck), Dangerfield, Douglas, Thompson.
From memory, Griffen kills us. The way our midfield has gone lately, the Dogs should win by 40+.
The Crows forward line just has one dimension: K Tippett. He can’t do it by himself.
Feeling the Crows to push the Dogs for a while. All of about 10 minutes.
Best bets: Western Bulldogs 40 to 59 @ $4.75. FAIL but not far off.
Game 2: Hawthorn v Gold Coast
Good chance Buddy will unleash a big bag of goals this weekend. You get SFA for the Hawks win and I can’t find much value in this market.
Best bets: Haw/Haw/Haw/Haw @ $1.16 seems like a sure thing for a multi leg.WIN
Game 3: Essendon v North Melbourne
I hate the Bombers after last week and the Roos have put together two in a row and playing well. Speaking of well, Daniel Wells is in rare form. The Dons rate their run but the confidence in a young Kangaroo group is palpable at the moment. Should be close but I’m all for the Roos to win. They average more scoring shots, although conversion rates have been down. Hope they don’t kick themselves out of it.
Best bets: Kangaroos $2.23, WIN Draw $51
Game 4: Brisbane Lions v Richmond
Their first game resulted in a five goal win to the Tigers. The Tigs were flattered by the scoreline last week and by jingo Andrew Browne doesn’t blow wind up Luenberger’s bunger. Honestly, with Brown back, I don’t think there’s much difference between these two and I will roll with the Lions, Drummond in replaces Adcock.
Best bets: Brisbane $2.20. FAIL Not even close
Game 5: Geelong v St Kilda
Geelong love close games. These two teams tend to play out tight, low scoring affairs so be wary going for the line either way. Selwood out is massive, Monty in is gold. I’m not certain, but the weather Saturday night at the G shouldn’t be great either so watch for the low-score betting. Steve Johnson to kick a bag too, should cover him as first goal kicker in all quarters with a small bet.
Best bets: St Kilda +21.5. FAIL Again, close but no cigar
Game 6: Melbourne v Fremantle
Again, ANOTHER close game. Statistically, these two match up well and Freo’s effort against the Hawks recently and recent form against Essendon shows they’re not on the slide. Can the Dees bounce back from a hideous hiding? I say no.
Best bets: Fremantle $2.10. Draw $51. FAIL![]()
Game 7: Carlton v Sydney
The odds suggest Carlton are near sure things but I see if differently for some reason. These two match up well and I would take the forward line of Goodes, O’Keefe, McGlynn, Kennedy, Jack and the talented youngster Sam Reid ahead of the Blues forward line of Simpson, Betts, Garlett, Walker with Hampson and Henderson down the spine. Promises to be a ripper match, my match of the round. Sydney smashed the Blues at Etihad last year.
Best bets: Sydney +22.5 @ $1.90. FAIL Gotta start rating the Blues a little more highly
Game 8: West Coast v Port Adelaide
Betting agencies are giving Port a 48-point head start. Fresh off the bye, all the pointers suggest a big win for WCE. I can’t shake a feeling Port will play well this weekend. Spiritual leader Cassisi is back. Justin Westhoff is playing his best year of footy. It was only last season a crap Power team went and knocked off a crap West Coast in Perth. Defensively they shape up ok. I think the Power can cover that line. I think they can also win. But you’d be brave to put your hard earned on it.
Best bets: Port +48.5 @ 1.90. WIN
I feel a little crook after writing that.
AFL specials: Gee whiz, Hawks at $2 for highest scoring team just looks like a gimme. FAIL
Sorry about the limited amount of bets. Internet connection a bit dicky.
by Pag » Mon Jun 20, 2011 2:39 pm
by Johno6 » Mon Jun 20, 2011 3:03 pm
by OnSong » Mon Jun 20, 2011 3:08 pm
by Johno6 » Mon Jun 20, 2011 3:19 pm
by OnSong » Mon Jun 20, 2011 3:21 pm
Johno6 wrote:Feel free to go to page 1 of this thread to see mine then mate.
by Johno6 » Mon Jun 20, 2011 3:26 pm
by Ron Burgundy » Mon Jun 20, 2011 3:30 pm
by Johno6 » Mon Jun 20, 2011 3:33 pm
by gadj1976 » Mon Jun 20, 2011 3:55 pm
gadj1976 wrote:Get in line for your collect now Lebron!
Bit late but these are the ones I'm still in:
19/06/2011 11:41:17 AM 491747 * AFL:AFL R13 Carl-Syd Mgn39.5 Carlton 1-39 $2.15
492089 * AFL:AFL R13 Wce-Port 1stQLine West Coast -12.5 $1.90
$4 = $16.34
19/06/2011 12:32:28 PM 491903 * AFL:AFL R13 Carl-Syd SMargin Carlton 30-39 $7.50
491934 * AFL:AFL R13 Wce-Port Mgn24.5 West Coast 25+ $1.25
$3 = $28.12
19/06/2011 12:32:27 PM 491903 * AFL:AFL R13 Carl-Syd SMargin Carlton 30-39 $7.50
490793 * AFL:AFL R13 Haw-GC Mgn39.5 Hawthorn 40+ $1.18
491934 * AFL:AFL R13 Wce-Port Mgn24.5 West Coast 25+ $1.25
$3 = $33.18
19/06/2011 12:29:17 PM 1008 * AFL:AFL R13 Haw-GC H2H Hawthorn $1.02
1007 * AFL:AFL R13 StK-Geel H2H Geelong $1.28
491945 * AFL:AFL R13 Wce-Port Mgn60 West Coast 40-59 $4.00
$3 = $15.66
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