OAKSY Doggies Tips

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 4

2 SEDENTARY $3.72
5 UNO BAZ $5.10
6 ONE COG $6.30
3 YOURE ALL TALK $7.00
8 BURNSYS OCKER $9.60
4 QUICK BLITZ $14.63
1 RIPPLEBROOK JAK $16.26

An interesting race for mine. One where I can see plenty of value. Not sure about my handicapping of #1 RIPPLEBROOK JAK - will be watching the betting as I cannot justify rating highly due to runs after a spell. Has also mostly finishing rearward in races.

The reason for #2 SEDENTARY on top - trainer goes ok - drawn outside of slower runner. Close to rails and has shown consistency in runs to date which for me is a good sign for a runner with minimal starts. Also dog on outside begins well and will give cover into the bend.

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 5

1 SEPTEMBER MISS $3.67
8 DEMON BOMBER $4.53
2 MIDNIGHT MARVEL $6.91
6 FAST AS ECARGOT $7.67
7 FLOPSY DIXON $9.47
5 SERBO DJOKER $17.82
3 REGAL DIAMONDS $22.01
4 DOCS DORA $41.41

A clear split in exotics here. Can really only see the TOP 5 figuring in this race. #1 has the pace. #8 has the draw. #6 is the cat who nearly wins and #2 loves the rails with pace also.#7 graded well and #5 runs on.

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 6

5 DEANO GIRL $3.64
8 CLASSIQUE $4.99
4 WOT PRICE DANNY $7.61
2 ULTRA SMOKEY $8.46
3 POPPA SLAZ $10.44
7 SMART PEDRO $12.89
1 WHO JACKMAN $14.32
6 BORDERLANDS $29.94

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 7

2 EXCELLENT TALENT $3.09
6 NORTHERN GUNNA $5.81
3 JADED SANDY $7.18
1 JOIE DE VIVRE $7.98
5 RED SCAR BOY $10.94
8 APACHE GALO $16.68
7 REGAL VILLAIN $18.53
4 SQUEEKY TAYLOR $28.24

I think the major problem for #8 APACHE GALO is trying to cross Northern Gunna early at the turn. Needs to step left initially and can be extremely weak around 1T tracks when knocked at the start.

#2 EXCELLENT TALENT gets best chance to win here. Drawn perfectly and has the pace to LAW.

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 9

8 BRANDEEN KATIE $3.29
1 COST CUTTER $4.06
3 RIDDLER $6.88
2 IM A MEADE $8.49
5 NASTY CANASTA $12.94
4 KABOOM MAXIMUS $17.75
6 HIGH DRAMA $27.06
7 IMPERFECTION $56.58

Another JOE race with some clear exotics it seems.

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 8

2 BIG BAD ROUGH $3.22
1 DA CARTEL $4.42
7 BETTER NOT DOUBT $5.45
6 LUCKY BEAR $8.31
5 BENEFICIAL $14.08
8 DASHING DAME $17.38
3 BLONDY RAMA $32.70

#2 J
#1 J
#7 J
#6 J
#5 J
#8 V
#3 N

Not much to see here.

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 10

2 UNDERBELLEY ANGEL $3.05
5 WHITE RABBIT $5.17
1 WILLY MAKE IT $5.74
7 SUZO WHO $9.72
8 PADDY BEAR $12.00
10 DIEGO SIYAN $18.29
6 ASHTON CAYA $25.09
4 TOW AWAY $42.49

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 11

8 BLACK BING $3.98
6 CANNY CATCH IT $4.91
5 TOOPAEUS GOLD $5.46
4 ERICA BLACK $7.49
1 SIZZLIN FRIZ $11.41
2 CAMWELLS COOL $17.40
7 FIRE WITH ICE $21.48
3 DAMAGED GOODS $26.52

OPEN

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 12

3 DIRTY BIT $3.95
6 POWER SPELL $4.88
8 SPOTTED CRUISER $6.02
7 POPPYS RAFFLE $9.18
1 SHREKS HAND $11.33
2 ARVOS JOSIE $12.59
5 ANCIENT HEART $17.27
4 TOP DRAMA $23.69

#3 J
#6 J
#8 V
#7 V
#1 V
#2 B
#5 B
#4 N

[mighty_tiger_79]

ange park

look at the quaddie

1st leg - really looks a race in two between the 4 and 5

the 4 should lead and the 5 should settle second, despite the poor draws they have. 2,3,7 are the only other chances if these two get hampered

second leg

a fairly even event here and I have the 5 on top from 2,3,6,8

third leg

i like the 3 on top here as a one out selection and 4,6,7,8 are the main dangers

fourth leg

1,3,4,6,8 are the selections here, the 8 will more than likely be the short priced fav, it is the best runner but there may be some pace inside it which will hamper its cause.

4,5/5/3/1,3,4,6,8
4,5/2,3,5,6,8/3/1,3,4,6,8
4,5/2,3,5,6,8/3,4,6,7,8/1,3,4,6,8
2,3,4,5,7/5/3/1,3,4,6,8
2,3,4,5,7/5/3,4,6,7,8/1,3,4,6,8
2,3,4,5,7/2,3,5,6,8/3/1,3,4,6,8
2,3,4,5,7/2,3,5,6,8/3,4,6,7,8/1,3,4,6,8

[mighty_tiger_79]

WARRAGUL

RACE 1

7 MASTER LACHLAN $3.22
5 OUR BOY HUDO $5.45
1 PRINCESS TIF $6.73
3 MRS DIRTS $10.26
6 JACQUI WHO $12.67
8 BENAROON GIRL $14.08..........WINNER $26 FROM 7 AND 1
2 IM CONNECTED $17.38
4 VALRAIN $19.31

#7 J
#5 J
#1 V
#3 V
#6 B
#8 V
#2 B
#4 B

Think #7 is well drawn here today and is strong in the finishing. #1,5 are well suited /same litter and both have OK pace.

The breeding of #4 has pace in litter. So I will have a few savers in exotics with running 3rd/4th. As may surprise, will look at early betting.

#3 will be slower away and wants the rails moreso. Gets a little bit of room early I feel.

But #7 is perfectly drawn, #6 jumps ok and heads to the rails. #8 will be slower out. Should find T1 easily and be able to cut across to rail.

[mighty_tiger_79]

WARRAGUL

Race 1 – nice overs on the 8

Race 2 – top rater wins $2.00

Race 3 – top rater wins and boxing top 4 = tri

4 – top rater wins at value and the top 3 ran the trifecta

5 – THE 3 wins at $28, lowly rated, but value against the market

6 – third rater wins

7 – second rater wins

8 – fourth rater wins

QUADDIE – overs in the first leg into the top 4 in the remaining 3 legs = $13,000

9 – second rater wins

[mighty_tiger_79]

oaksy $20k+ in quaddies last 2 meetings!!!

[Oaksnaf]

I wish. I didn't get today's quaddie.

[mighty_tiger_79]

healesville

1 - 3 - quick beginner $4.40

2 - 3 - $2.80

3 - 1 - $1.40

4 - 1 - $3.30

5 - 7 - $4.50

6 - 3 - $1.80

7 - 6 - $5

8 - 2 - $1.80

9 - 8 - $3.50

10 - 1 - $2.20

12 - 10 - $4

[Oaksnaf]

RACE 1

3 LEDARO MILLS $3.32
7 PERMISCIOUS DIVA $5.62
8 ROYAL WANALTA $6.25
1 LADY YA YA $7.71
9 KNOCKA MAGIC $10.58
5 KAYLAS EFFORT $16.13
6 BODAFAN $24.58
2 QUICK RELEASE $30.34

RACE 2

3 IMA LEGEND $2.53
2 MISS GEE UNIT $5.88
6 EYE SAY GO $8.06
7 LIL MAYBE $8.96
5 COOL OPAL $13.65
4 UNDER TAKER $16.86
1 TRINITY GIRL $28.55
8 WHITE COAT BOY $31.72

RACE 3

1 ITS IRON HIDE $2.96
2 JIMMY JONES $5.57
7 HERE COMES ALEX $6.88
3 TASHELLE LEA $8.49
5 AMAZUKA $11.64
6 THREE VOTES $14.38
8 KING SOCK COLLO $24.35
9 SHANRON GIRL $41.23

RACE 4

4 LIONELS ALONE $4.13
3 SISCO DREAM $5.10
1 KESTREL COAL $6.99
6 MAYBE CHEAP $8.63
8 UNO HILLBILLY $9.59
7 STROKE OF LUCK $13.16
2 WANALTA JACK $14.62
9 CHILE RUM $18.05

An open race here. #3,4 have the pace and are drawn where they want to be. But the problem for them is that sometimes CHILE RUM #9 begins well and moves to the rails sharply. #8 UNO HILLBILLY also has pace, but that is a long way to cross from BOX 8 for this runner after rails run ls. Bendigo formline never holds up that strong here, so am willing to leave #7 down the back, but would be an exotic player.

JOE will come for #1 - but this last 50m is likely to be a killer and may want to get off the track. Most miss the start debut BOX 1 here. Happy to see JOE smash this runner.

RACE 5

2 TIGER IN WOODS $4.80
7 DENISE MAGIC $5.33
4 MEXICO JOE $5.93
5 UNO MORDI $8.13
3 WALLY ENLIM $10.04
6 PORKS $11.15
1 RUBIK BLUSH $12.39
10 TRINITY JACK $23.31

The most open race that I have seen in a long time here at HVL.

#2 can begin from the rails and does like to sweep to the middle of the track and then back towards the rails. If has room and doesn't have runners pressuring on outside can run a much better race.

#7 DENISE MAGIC wants the rails and has the best outright pace early you would think against this field. But with #3,4 both moving to the middle and being much bigger dogs, this could prove problems for the bitch Denise Magic. But trainer does go well here.

#1 RUBIK BLUSH will benefit a lot from the runners moving to the middle and does run home strong. But outright ability here is lacking a little bit. Definitely one to sneak a place. And must watch early betting on this one. Also on Mexico Joe.

This could be a great 'mail' race in betting.

RACE 6


3 STAGGER $3.96
5 GIN LEES GEM $5.43
8 ITS MANIC $6.04
1 LEAD SINGER $7.45
7 MARIO CHIEF $11.36
4 MISS SPENCE $14.02
6 GOLD BREAK $17.31
2 NEWFIRE CHARGED $21.37

#1 LEAD SINGER has improved a lot and is near best form one would think. But has to avoid the railer #2 NEWFIRE CHARGED who has ability to ping and cross in front. LEAD SINGER has an excellent record this draw but the 350m is still the query if at full fitness again.

#2 NEWFIRE CHARGED pings and wants the fence. Does best racing this way. Was a bit soft l.s but was a tough race to come back into.

#3 STAGGER class act here and is great to have drawn outside pace and inside of a straight runner. STRONG

#4 MISS SPENCE has surprised me before in ability. First splits are fairly impressive, but has had a habit of stopping fast.

#5 GIN LEES GEM - kennel is in good form right now and has huge ability in the straight. Nearly made cup final..... gets plenty of room early with pace from 4,6. MUST avoid the pinball in the race Mario Cheif though.

#6 GOLD BREAK improved L/S after stopping real quick in the 300m race. Still probably a bit behind these and would need clear racing room on the rails.

#7 MARIO CHEIF strong but is normally a pinball at the start here. Although l/s here seemed to have improved antics.

#8 ITS MANIC great pace at the start of the race and will appreciate the movements from the inside boxes to get a great cart to the middle of the track. Is in good form but not as strong in the concluding stages as #3,5. Needs a little bit of luck.

RACE 7

4 MR RUMBY $2.73
1 ZALDINI $4.16
5 BRISTLERS PATCH $5.71
3 ROCK YA BONES $8.70
6 WONDER KIDS $14.73
7 TUDOR PARK $27.72

RACE 8

2 EARLY RETURN $2.82
8 PREMIER MAGPIE $3.48
7 NORTHERN TROUBLE $6.55
3 RAINBOWS GIFT $9.98
4 NORTHERN GUNNA $16.91
6 DEMONSTROUS $35.35
1 BOB ENLIM $59.87

A race in 2 here. Premier Magpie will be fitter for the run after last week and having to overcome some calf issues.

Early Return is the HVL master and #7 Northern Trouble will be aided by #6 who crashes to the fence.

RACE 9

8 FIERY ANN $3.54
1 MIZAIRE $5.40
7 DIRTY MARY $6.66
6 BRING IT HOME $7.40
5 PREMIER PIZAZZ $9.14
3 RUNAWAY RALFY $12.53
4 THYME TO RAGE $17.19

#6 BRING IT HOME is the key to this race, does like to race wide and other runners have trouble crossing. perhaps this will undo DIRTY MARY's race but not for the pink FIERY ANN who likes staying out there.

The CRAN form of #1 is great formline, BOX 1 is a query, but gets room. #3 will come to rails, #4 will go out and #5 will go straight but step left initailly. The room #1,8 get is great.

Have to get a feel on #3 in betting as trainer has been away and perhaps not in best condition just yet.

RACE 10

5 CHARDONNAY $4.25
1 RUTHLESS STAGGER $5.25
7 MY MISTY GALO $5.83
2 WAIRAPA WARRIOR $7.20
4 FUN TIME ALLY $8.89
6 LIGHTNING TESS $13.54
8 SHES HAYDENS $20.64
3 COOP JAK $34.96

perhaps a great race to find some value in the exotics. JOE won't see this race being so open. #4 and #5 both present huge value in this race for mine. #7 is more than capable here and 300m I feel will be ok, but is drawn inside out. The early pace of #2 and outside of RUTHLESS STAGGER is a worry.


RACE 11

8 KRISTINGEE $3.07
1 AXLE MAGIC $5.78
4 JAKKI RIPPER $6.42
2 ENFIELD PARTY $7.92
6 SHYANNES JEWEL $10.87
5 BELLES TINY $16.57
9 SMART JESS $25.25
3 LUCKNOW HILTON $38.49

RACE 12

7 LEDARO TED $3.48
10 PURE DECEPTION $5.30
6 ZAFONIC ZJADHI $6.55
1 RAKURA $8.98
4 KNOCKOUT KING $9.98
2 MISS SLATER $12.32
3 BENJAMINS CUTIE $20.87
5 AUSTRALIAN FLYER $31.80

[mighty_tiger_79]

sensational work, another quaddie collect on its way

[Oaksnaf]

Quaddie is fairly interesting. Getting the first leg with some value will be key as many legs after that will be taken quite skinny.
2,3,4,5,6,7 / 3 / 4 / 2

Those last 3 is what I can see many JOE's standing out.

A wide quaddie would look like

2,3,4,5,6,7 / 1,3,5,8 / 1,4 / 2,8

There are a lot of open races today. 5/12 races bottom rating is below $30. Perhaps the WIN S/R won't be as high today.

An expecting UNDERS on top rating in R2 / 3 / 6 / 7 / 8 / 9 / 11

So in my opinion, there will be plenty of value about today. Especially for the exotic punter.

Races I am most confident on TOP 4 figuering >>R1 / 2 / 3 / 11

There are a few runners to look for in BETTING today.

R1 #9 KNOCKA MAGIC
R2 #4 UNDER TAKER
R5 #4 MEXICO JOE #5 UNO MORDI #7 DENISE MAGIC
R9 #1 MIZAIRE #7 DIRTY MARY
R10 #1 RUTHLESS STAGGER

haven't heard much mail from the track today though. I know previous trial information has changed some of my markets, but don't have current trial info.

[mighty_tiger_79]

Quaddie

7/3/6/2

f/3/f/2

2,4,7/1,3,5,8/1,3,4,5/2,3,7,8

2,3,4,5,7/1,3,5,8/1,3,4,5/2,7,8

[stampy]

as per usual i put my trifectas on (top 3 raters boxed), come back from coles and bingo!! r1 a very juicy return!! just pissed that supertab paid the lower of the 3 divvies but i will take the $186 tyvm oaksy!!