AFL ROUND 17

[BluesBrother08]

Teams winning of their second bye are West Coast, Collingwood, Saints not exactly scrubbers that might have something to do with it. Will see this week when 2 pretty ordinary sides and 1 also ran side come off their byes. Gold Coast lost of their 2nd bye.

[Mr_Willy]

Teams winning of their second bye are West Coast, Collingwood, Saints not exactly scrubbers that might have something to do with it. Will see this week when 2 pretty ordinary sides and 1 also ran side come off their byes. Gold Coast lost of their 2nd bye.

Funnily enough, those are only 4 sides that have had 2 byes.... And ALL have won the week after apart from Gold Coast who played Geelong so I'm sure we can forgive that....

West Coast beat Geelong
St Kilda beat Kangaroos
Collingwood beat Sydney.

Interestingly all 3 games have been very close (less than 2 goals) and on all 3 occasions the side coming off the bye finished poorly....

St Kilda won off their first bye, but played Brisbane also coming off a bye
West Coast also won off their first bye but played Melbourne also coming off a bye
Collingwood however lost coming off their first bye being their only loss for the year....


Maybe it shows that sides are getting better with dealing with the bye... I know its been reported the Crows had a pretty full on training session on Saturday to try and keep the week similar to having played....

[mighty_tiger_79]

maybe sides coming off a bye - go with the 1-39 margins both sides

[Big Al]

Weagles into $2.10 (betfair) now
Kerr is a 50/50 and would be a big out
will think about laying if he drops out, might lay anyway to lock in a profit

[OnSong]

Game 1: Adelaide v Essendon

It’s been four years since the Dons rolled the Crows. Their last two trips to AAMI have resulted in utter floggings. I can’t get the Dons right. I struggle to get the Crows right. Callinan out, I liked his input in his two games. Henderson in, who has improved, Brodie Smith is a good rookie. The mug Slattery comes in for Hibberd, straight swap. I think Adelaide’s midfield is better. Jacobs is better than Ryder in the ruck. Moron is still playing though as second fiddle. Could be a frustrating loss where we should win but we juuuust can’t do it. Bugger it. I’m backing the Crows. Don’t expect many goals to be kicked tomorrow night either. 150 to 170 total score range.

Game 2: Richmond v Gold Coast

Can anyone tell me where this game will be played? Doesn’t matter. On form, I like the Coasters at the line here. If Ablett plays. Pivotal Ablett plays. Otherwise, haven’t been impressed with the Tigers. Great chance last week and weren’t good enough. Bock should have Riewoldt’s measure. Bugger it again, I might just back GC straight out. I’m having a frustrating season.

Game 3: Cartlon v Collingwood

Lachie Henderson v Travis Cloke. I’m licking my lips with glee here. The Blues will need to play out of their skin to get close to the Maggies. Waite out hurts their avenue to goal. Has the off-field stuff played games with them? I doubt it. Should really do some damage to the Blues here. I’ll back them to clear the line.

Game 4: St Kilda v West Coast

A lot of money been put on the Coasters, who seem to have conquered their travel hoodoo. Did over Carlton in dominant fashion a few weeks ago. I look at the line up and the Saints have winners on every line, Montagna a consistent possession getter against these lads. McEvoy is improved, improved enough to go with Cox is the big question. Toss of the coin, I’ll follow the smarts of the SA footy folk who have gone with the Coasters. Lost 9 of the last 12 under the roof of Etihad though. Some big ins in Waters and Lynch though.

Game 5: Melbourne v Port Adelaide

Along with the Gold Coasters, I think the Power are a value bet this week. The Demons off the bye aren’t all that reliable, they’ll either flog them or lose. One point the margin last time at TIO. I’ll take some of the Power straight out but cover my butt with the Dees in multis. Got a lot of young guns. Too many for the Power it would seem….

Game 6: Sydney v Fremantle

Tipping a tight match here, Freo rolled the Swans in Sydney last year, Swans returned the favour at Patersons this year. They say in tight contests, back the home team, although the $3.30 odd for the Dockers seems overs given recent history.

Game 7: Brisbane v Geelong

Geelong. By a lot.

Game 8: North Melb v Western Bulldogs

Gee, the Bullies surprised with an easy win over the Blues. The form of Cooney has been the catalyst really. The Kangas haven’t rolled the Bullies since 2008. Boyd tends to collect plenty of ball against these lads too.

[mighty_tiger_79]

tigers v suns is some place in cairns

[Johno6]

kerr out for eagles also if noone has mentioned yet

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Game 1: Adelaide v Essendon

It’s been four years since the Dons rolled the Crows. Their last two trips to AAMI have resulted in utter floggings. I can’t get the Dons right. I struggle to get the Crows right. Callinan out, I liked his input in his two games. Henderson in, who has improved, Brodie Smith is a good rookie. The mug Slattery comes in for Hibberd, straight swap. I think Adelaide’s midfield is better. Jacobs is better than Ryder in the ruck. Moron is still playing though as second fiddle. Could be a frustrating loss where we should win but we juuuust can’t do it. Bugger it. I’m backing the Crows. Don’t expect many goals to be kicked tomorrow night either. 150 to 170 total score range.
Adel won past 5 v Ess av over 50 pts. Adel won past 5/6 v Dons at home, winning ave 82 pts. Ess lost past 8/9 at AAMMI ave losing score of 62 pts. Ess lost past 8/9 away, ave losing score 45 pts.
Game 2: Richmond v Gold Coast

Can anyone tell me where this game will be played? Doesn’t matter. On form, I like the Coasters at the line here. If Ablett plays. Pivotal Ablett plays. Otherwise, haven’t been impressed with the Tigers. Great chance last week and weren’t good enough. Bock should have Riewoldt’s measure. Bugger it again, I might just back GC straight out. I’m having a frustrating season.

Game 3: Cartlon v Collingwood

Lachie Henderson v Travis Cloke. I’m licking my lips with glee here. The Blues will need to play out of their skin to get close to the Maggies. Waite out hurts their avenue to goal. Has the off-field stuff played games with them? I doubt it. Should really do some damage to the Blues here. I’ll back them to clear the line.

Game 4: St Kilda v West Coast

A lot of money been put on the Coasters, who seem to have conquered their travel hoodoo. Did over Carlton in dominant fashion a few weeks ago. I look at the line up and the Saints have winners on every line, Montagna a consistent possession getter against these lads. McEvoy is improved, improved enough to go with Cox is the big question. Toss of the coin, I’ll follow the smarts of the SA footy folk who have gone with the Coasters. Lost 9 of the last 12 under the roof of Etihad though. Some big ins in Waters and Lynch though.

Game 5: Melbourne v Port Adelaide

Along with the Gold Coasters, I think the Power are a value bet this week. The Demons off the bye aren’t all that reliable, they’ll either flog them or lose. One point the margin last time at TIO. I’ll take some of the Power straight out but cover my butt with the Dees in multis. Got a lot of young guns. Too many for the Power it would seem….

Game 6: Sydney v Fremantle

Tipping a tight match here, Freo rolled the Swans in Sydney last year, Swans returned the favour at Patersons this year. They say in tight contests, back the home team, although the $3.30 odd for the Dockers seems overs given recent history.
Syd won past 9/10 at SCG v Freeo.
Take away AAMMI wins, Freeo lost past 6/7 away at an ave losing score 66 pts.

Game 7: Brisbane v Geelong

Geelong. By a lot.

Game 8: North Melb v Western Bulldogs

Gee, the Bullies surprised with an easy win over the Blues. The form of Cooney has been the catalyst really. The Kangas haven’t rolled the Bullies since 2008. Boyd tends to collect plenty of ball against these lads too.
Dogs won past 4 at Ethiad v North, last two by over 70 points.

Appreciate these write ups, added some stats that may enhance the previews.

[OnSong]

Thanks Sheik. Nice data there. Come on Crows.

[Johno6]

anyone know what the odds were at half time in tonights game?

[OnSong]

Again the crows let me down but I'll take the easy money for the total match scores tonight.

[OnSong]

Game 1: Adelaide v Essendon

It’s been four years since the Dons rolled the Crows. Their last two trips to AAMI have resulted in utter floggings. I can’t get the Dons right. I struggle to get the Crows right. Callinan out, I liked his input in his two games. Henderson in, who has improved, Brodie Smith is a good rookie. The mug Slattery comes in for Hibberd, straight swap. I think Adelaide’s midfield is better. Jacobs is better than Ryder in the ruck. Moron is still playing though as second fiddle. Could be a frustrating loss where we should win but we juuuust can’t do it. WIN Bugger it. I’m backing the Crows. FAIL Don’t expect many goals to be kicked tomorrow night either. 150 to 170 total score range. WIN

Game 2: Richmond v Gold Coast

Can anyone tell me where this game will be played? Doesn’t matter. On form, I like the Coasters at the line here. WIN If Ablett plays. Pivotal Ablett plays. Otherwise, haven’t been impressed with the Tigers. Great chance last week and weren’t good enough. Bock should have Riewoldt’s measure. Bugger it again, I might just back GC straight out. WIN I’m having a frustrating season.

Game 3: Cartlon v Collingwood

Lachie Henderson v Travis Cloke. I’m licking my lips with glee here. The Blues will need to play out of their skin to get close to the Maggies. Waite out hurts their avenue to goal. Has the off-field stuff played games with them? I doubt it. Should really do some damage to the Blues here. I’ll back them to clear the line. FAIL

Game 4: St Kilda v West Coast

A lot of money been put on the Coasters, who seem to have conquered their travel hoodoo. Did over Carlton in dominant fashion a few weeks ago. I look at the line up and the Saints have winners on every line, Montagna a consistent possession getter against these lads. WIN McEvoy is improved, improved enough to go with Cox is the big question. Toss of the coin, I’ll follow the smarts of the SA footy folk who have gone with the Coasters. FAIL Lost 9 of the last 12 under the roof of Etihad though. Some big ins in Waters and Lynch though.

Game 5: Melbourne v Port Adelaide

Along with the Gold Coasters, I think the Power are a value bet this week. The Demons off the bye aren’t all that reliable, they’ll either flog them or lose. One point the margin last time at TIO. I’ll take some of the Power straight out FAIL but cover my butt with the Dees in multis. WIN Got a lot of young guns. Too many for the Power it would seem….

Game 6: Sydney v Fremantle

Tipping a tight match here,WIN Freo rolled the Swans in Sydney last year, Swans returned the favour at Patersons this year. They say in tight contests, back the home team, although the $3.30 odd for the Dockers seems overs given recent history. WIN

Game 7: Brisbane v Geelong

Geelong. WIN By a lot. FAIL

Game 8: North Melb v Western Bulldogs

Gee, the Bullies surprised with an easy win over the Blues. The form of Cooney has been the catalyst really. The Kangas haven’t rolled the Bullies since 2008. Boyd tends to collect plenty of ball against these lads too FAIL .

Better week in the straight out betting with both the Coasters and the Dockers saluting at solid odds. Also got $6 for the match score in the Crows v Essendon game. No multi wins for me though, which was disappointing, especially with a 12/1 multi finishing with WB at the line getting rolled in the last game of the week. Ack! Keeps happening, the last Sunday game keeps pipping me.