AFL RD 16

[Big Al]

my $2 line bets for this week, got 3 outta 5 last week
geelong - 7 (doubled up on this one)
gold coast +36
essendon -12
Carlton - 22.5

Do you multi much BA?
I have one multi on so far:

Geel, Hawks -37.5, Sydney - 36.5, Coll - 44.5 and Carlton = $14.72

rarely multi if I was really keen on 2 bets would probably multi them but geelong is the only one here
just tried to multi them and it wont let me because its a special(with betstar till 6pm most fridays)

[Johno6]

Ok... I admit it. I was wrong guys.
But couldn't be more happy to be wrong

Just gutted I had money on Geelong now haha

[Johno6]

Who won the super coach bet to?

I still can't believe eagles won

[Bum Crack]

Ok... I admit it. I was wrong guys.
But couldn't be more happy to be wrong

Just gutted I had money on Geelong now haha

u had **** all on geelong. we not silly. as i said, you pulled the we can't win card and u got up. well done. not grumpy we lost to be honest. the closer teams can get to beating those collingwood ****, the happier i get

[Johno6]

I had 50 on them by over 8.
Might not be much for u. But it is for me

And I wasn't playing any "card" I genuinely thought we were going to lose tonight
Can't someone think their team is going to lose or somethin
Although I had same feeling against vlues

I also tipped cats in all 3 comps I'm in.

[mighty_tiger_79]

well can i play the I TOLD YAS SO card

i told yas the coasters were the value bet of the year

[mighty_tiger_79]

and just scraped in on the under the margin!!!!!

[OnSong]

and just scraped in on the under the margin!!!!!

I just scraped out. Ah well, still in the hunt in two more multis. Hawks at the line, sydney at the line and collingwood at the line.

[Dutchy]

cats are also on B2B 6 day breaks

And coming off the DOOOM!

[OnSong]

Game 1: West Coast v Geelong

Quick. Geelong at $1.74 is the value of the week FAIL! Lynch out, the Cats are just about Selwood away from full strength and their brain fade last week against the Bombers was a rarity. Geez, I’m tempted to take them 40+. Cats not beaten by the Eagles in 5 years. POW! High scoring games these ones, heading for 180 + at least. WIN

Game 2: Hawthorn v Brissy

Hawthorn were pounded by the Pies but should rebound against the Lions in Tassie. Brissy knocked them off here two years ago but I strongly doubt this will happen this week. Look for lower scoring match scores, the total match scores at Aurora in the last three have barely cracked 160 WIN. Hawthorn line should be safe WIN. At least a seven goal win, surely. Will include in only a few multis tho.

Game 3: Gold Coast v Sydney

I’ll take Sydney’s six goal handicap WIN. Up at Metricon, I get that, but Sydney have the big bodies and Nick Malceski back will carve up from the backline. The more I think about it, the more I start changing my mind. So I’ll end it there. Haha.

Game 4: Richmond v Essendon

Last week was one of those rare exceptions where punters lost big. Real big. Richmond are a better team than a 100-point drubbing, Essendon are a worse team than a win over Geelong. Always highest scoring encounters. Match score to be about 190 to 210 I reckonFAIL. I’m backing Richmond too but you also get a nice two goal head start, just in case….FAIL

Game 5: Collingwood v North Melbourne

The Pies are back and flying and take them at that line of 45 points WIN. They should win by over eight goals, as they did earlier this year. Dane Swan 38 and 40 disposals in their last two encounters. Look to him for most disposal specials. WIN

Game 6: Port Adelaide v St Kilda

The Saints bucked the bye hoodoo and came up with the goods against the Roos last week. Their earlier trip to Adelaide was unsuccessful, can Port repeat the dosage? All I can say is these AAMI stadium clashes tend to be low scoring affairs. Look for below 160 point scorelines WIN. Can’t pick this one. Perhaps the Saints…. WIN

Game 7: Western Bulldogs v Carlton

High scoring game FAIL. The Blues at $1.32 is probably a nice way to finish off some multisFAIL. Can’t see the Doggies doing the deed here and I would say a win over four goals to the Blues is realistic. That line seems value to me. FAIL

Closest game of the round market is also interesting. Keep an eye on that one.

A reasonably successful weekend but Geelong and the Blues were dampeners.
I've been stung by the Blues more times than I can count this year, while the Cats have bent me over twice in two weeks.