State Of Origin Game 2

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State Of Origin Game 2

Postby Johno6 » Wed Jun 15, 2011 11:10 am

New South Wales 2.25 (+3.5) 1.85 (+1.5) 2.00
Queensland 1.65 (-3.5) 1.95 (-5.5) 2.10



Even though its in Sydney and meant to be a water pool, i really like QLD -3.5

any thoughts from the experts?
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Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Postby Trader » Wed Jun 15, 2011 12:55 pm

No expert here by any stretch but I really like QLD to smash em tonight.

NSW has taken in the extra 2nd rowers rather than the front rowers, and I recon they are going to be a big body or two short as a result. In the wet this might be a critical mistake.

Wet doesn't always mean low scoring, sometimes it's a blowout as tackles don't stick and the side that handels the conditions better can open up a big lead.

Qld -12.5 is starting to blow out to decent odds, will be getting on at around the 4.5 mark.

Also, plenty of arb available on this game tonight. There was over 3% bookie arb available last night, and still plenty offering just under the 2% mark.
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Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Postby Brodlach » Wed Jun 15, 2011 12:57 pm

Ive taken Qld -6
July 11th 2012....
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Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Postby Johno6 » Wed Jun 15, 2011 1:13 pm

The over-under is 28 I think.
If I don't take the -3.5 for qld I'd be taking the overs for sure
On paper qld team lOoks so much better
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Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Postby Ron Burgundy » Wed Jun 15, 2011 1:22 pm

Ive taken NSW +3.5 into total score under 28.5

So couldnt be any more on the other side of the fence Johno.

I dont have any idea though...using a $10 freebet for the bet.
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Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Postby Johno6 » Wed Jun 15, 2011 3:42 pm

Odds have changed again.....


New South Wales .....2.15 (+2.5) 1.90 (+0.5) 2.05 Under (30.5) 2.00
Queensland ............1.70 (-2.5) 1.90 (-4.5) 2.05 Over (30.5) 1.80
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Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Postby Johno6 » Wed Jun 15, 2011 3:42 pm

Ron Burgundy wrote:Ive taken NSW +3.5 into total score under 28.5

So couldnt be any more on the other side of the fence Johno.

I dont have any idea though...using a $10 freebet for the bet.



haha hopefully one of us will be happy later tonight then!!
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Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Postby RoosterMarty » Wed Jun 15, 2011 7:51 pm

I've just taken QLD straight out tonight @ 1.74.
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Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Postby Trader » Thu Jun 16, 2011 1:02 am

Trader wrote:No expert here by any stretch but I really like QLD to smash em tonight.

NSW has taken in the extra 2nd rowers rather than the front rowers, and I recon they are going to be a big body or two short as a result. In the wet this might be a critical mistake.

Wet doesn't always mean low scoring, sometimes it's a blowout as tackles don't stick and the side that handels the conditions better can open up a big lead.

Qld -12.5 is starting to blow out to decent odds, will be getting on at around the 4.5 mark.

Also, plenty of arb available on this game tonight. There was over 3% bookie arb available last night, and still plenty offering just under the 2% mark.


Like I said, certainly no expert! haha
At least the market moved as expected, all the 4s I laid QLD over I got back at 5+, so that gave me enough of a lead that my bet was just the profit.
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Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Postby Ron Burgundy » Thu Jun 16, 2011 9:36 am

Ron Burgundy wrote:Ive taken NSW +3.5 into total score under 28.5

So couldnt be any more on the other side of the fence Johno.

I dont have any idea though...using a $10 freebet for the bet.


And im no expert either, but sometimes we can just get lucky.
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Re: State Of Origin Game 2

Postby Johno6 » Thu Jun 16, 2011 10:00 am

well done ronny.... nice get.

i ended up going qld -2.5.

gutted
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