SA Footy

Friday Sept 21st - MCG 7:20pm
Collingwood v Greater Western Sydney

Saturday Sept 22nd - Gabba 4:45pm
Brisbane v Carlton


Collingwood & Carlton are there only due to Melbourne’s ineptness.
Giants by 16 pts
Lions by 38 pts

Lions by 52 - reckon the last two weeks have taken it out of Carlton, and four changes is too many and will disrupt. Combine that with Brisbanes dominance at home and reckon this will blow out.
Collingwood by 21 - Just a bit better than GWS and at home with 90 of the 95k supporters will get it done.

Collingwood 25+
Anytime goal scorer De Goey, McStay, Riccardi and Daniels
Brisbane 25+
Anytime goal scorer Rayner, Hipwood, Motlop and Martin

@ $75

Carlton v GWS granny!

Collingwood by a point.

Brisbane by 57 points.

RB wrote:Collingwood by a point.

Brisbane by 57 points.

Without checking stats, there always seems to be one close Prelim and one blow out.

Then the following week the team that scrapes thru with the tough Prelim goes on to be Premiers.

See if that theory comes true

Eagles2014 wrote:

RB wrote:Collingwood by a point.

Brisbane by 57 points.

Without checking stats, there always seems to be one close Prelim and one blow out.

Then the following week the team that scrapes thru with the tough Prelim goes on to be Premiers.

See if that theory comes true

Sydney scraped through a Prelim last year and got smoked in the GF lol.

PatowalongaPirate wrote:

Eagles2014 wrote:

RB wrote:Collingwood by a point.

Brisbane by 57 points.

Without checking stats, there always seems to be one close Prelim and one blow out.

Then the following week the team that scrapes thru with the tough Prelim goes on to be Premiers.

See if that theory comes true

Sydney scraped through a Prelim last year and got smoked in the GF lol.

2019
GWS won prelim by 4 point
GWS lost GF by 89 points

2022
Sydney won prelim by 1 point
Sydney lost GF by 81 points

Booney wrote:

PatowalongaPirate wrote:

Eagles2014 wrote:

RB wrote:Collingwood by a point.

Brisbane by 57 points.

Without checking stats, there always seems to be one close Prelim and one blow out.

Then the following week the team that scrapes thru with the tough Prelim goes on to be Premiers.

See if that theory comes true

Sydney scraped through a Prelim last year and got smoked in the GF lol.

2019
GWS won prelim by 4 point
GWS lost GF by 89 points

2022
Sydney won prelim by 1 point
Sydney lost GF by 81 points

OK, did some checking from last 10 years to check my memory.

These two seasons are the only ones that went the other way. Four years there was no close Prelims.

But four of the last ten years my theory stands up.

2020 Richmond (6 points) beat Geelong
2016 Bulldogs (6 points) beat Sydney
2014 Hawthorn (3 points) beat Sydney
2013 Hawthorn (5 points) beat Fremantle

Pies by 15 after being down at 3/4 time.
Brisbane by heaps.

Eagles2014 wrote:

Booney wrote:

PatowalongaPirate wrote:

Eagles2014 wrote:
Without checking stats, there always seems to be one close Prelim and one blow out.

Then the following week the team that scrapes thru with the tough Prelim goes on to be Premiers.

See if that theory comes true

Sydney scraped through a Prelim last year and got smoked in the GF lol.

2019
GWS won prelim by 4 point
GWS lost GF by 89 points

2022
Sydney won prelim by 1 point
Sydney lost GF by 81 points

OK, did some checking from last 10 years to check my memory.

These two seasons are the only ones that went the other way. Four years there was no close Prelims.

But four of the last ten years my theory stands up.

2020 Richmond (6 points) beat Geelong
2016 Bulldogs (6 points) beat Sydney
2014 Hawthorn (3 points) beat Sydney
2013 Hawthorn (5 points) beat Fremantle

Plenty of other examples where the team which has struggled through or had it's backs to the wall at some stage in the prelim has come through and won the final:
Adelaide 1997
Port 2004
West Coast 2006
Geelong 2007
2003 Brisbane and 2005 Sydney, scores were close at three quarter time of the prelim

2000, 2009, 2011 & 2012 are some the other way over the last 25 years

Brisbane comfortably.

Collingwood. GWS have a chance if they can tidy up that one fumble or one handball too many when they are moving through the middle, and they got away with it against lesser opposition than the pies.

My Friday Forecast -

* Toby Green kicks 4
* Tom Green has leather poisoning
* Maynard exudes flog behaviour
* Umpires favour Collingwood, but the boos ring out
* Nick Daicos returns in fine form
* Collingwood by 22pts
* Attendance 96,548

*My Friday Forecasts have been more like a kiss of death this season.

Gut feeling GWS might just cause a boil over

Lions by plenty

back to my beers in he Cobar pub

Well I thought tonight would be the pick of the 2 matches.
Thought GWS capable of an upset.
But more I think about it the more I see Collingwood winning by an easy 7 goals

PatowalongaPirate wrote:My Friday Forecast -

* Toby Green kicks 4
* Tom Green has leather poisoning
* Maynard exudes flog behaviour
* Umpires favour Collingwood, but the boos ring out
* Nick Daicos returns in fine form
* Collingwood by 22pts
* Attendance 96,548

*My Friday Forecasts have been more like a kiss of death this season.

Point 3 not hard to forecast.

How will Toby Greene go though?

Wedgie wrote:How will Toby Greene go though?

I think he'll play well, Wedgi.

PatowalongaPirate wrote:

Wedgie wrote:How will Toby Greene go though?

I think he'll play well, Wedgi.

Agreed Pirat

Looking forward to this game.
Atmosphere is electric.