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Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 11:31 am
by Spargo
Friday Sept 21st - MCG 7:20pm
Collingwood v Greater Western Sydney
Saturday Sept 22nd - Gabba 4:45pm
Brisbane v Carlton
Collingwood & Carlton are there only due to Melbourne’s ineptness.
Giants by 16 pts
Lions by 38 pts
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 12:03 pm
by MW
Lions by 52 - reckon the last two weeks have taken it out of Carlton, and four changes is too many and will disrupt. Combine that with Brisbanes dominance at home and reckon this will blow out.
Collingwood by 21 - Just a bit better than GWS and at home with 90 of the 95k supporters will get it done.
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 12:16 pm
by Booney
Collingwood 25+
Anytime goal scorer De Goey, McStay, Riccardi and Daniels
Brisbane 25+
Anytime goal scorer Rayner, Hipwood, Motlop and Martin
@ $75
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 12:16 pm
by amber_fluid
Carlton v GWS granny!
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 12:28 pm
by RB
Collingwood by a point.
Brisbane by 57 points.
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 1:32 pm
by Eagles2014
RB wrote:Collingwood by a point.
Brisbane by 57 points.
Without checking stats, there always seems to be one close Prelim and one blow out.
Then the following week the team that scrapes thru with the tough Prelim goes on to be Premiers.
See if that theory comes true

Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 1:39 pm
by PatowalongaPirate
Eagles2014 wrote:RB wrote:Collingwood by a point.
Brisbane by 57 points.
Without checking stats, there always seems to be one close Prelim and one blow out.
Then the following week the team that scrapes thru with the tough Prelim goes on to be Premiers.
See if that theory comes true

Sydney scraped through a Prelim last year and got smoked in the GF lol.
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 2:01 pm
by Booney
PatowalongaPirate wrote:Eagles2014 wrote:RB wrote:Collingwood by a point.
Brisbane by 57 points.
Without checking stats, there always seems to be one close Prelim and one blow out.
Then the following week the team that scrapes thru with the tough Prelim goes on to be Premiers.
See if that theory comes true

Sydney scraped through a Prelim last year and got smoked in the GF lol.
2019
GWS won prelim by 4 point
GWS lost GF by 89 points
2022
Sydney won prelim by 1 point
Sydney lost GF by 81 points
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 2:37 pm
by Eagles2014
Booney wrote:PatowalongaPirate wrote:Eagles2014 wrote:RB wrote:Collingwood by a point.
Brisbane by 57 points.
Without checking stats, there always seems to be one close Prelim and one blow out.
Then the following week the team that scrapes thru with the tough Prelim goes on to be Premiers.
See if that theory comes true

Sydney scraped through a Prelim last year and got smoked in the GF lol.
2019
GWS won prelim by 4 point
GWS lost GF by 89 points
2022
Sydney won prelim by 1 point
Sydney lost GF by 81 points
OK, did some checking from last 10 years to check my memory.
These two seasons are the only ones that went the other way. Four years there was no close Prelims.
But four of the last ten years my theory stands up.
2020 Richmond (6 points) beat Geelong
2016 Bulldogs (6 points) beat Sydney
2014 Hawthorn (3 points) beat Sydney
2013 Hawthorn (5 points) beat Fremantle
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 3:24 pm
by tigerpie
Pies by 15 after being down at 3/4 time.
Brisbane by heaps.
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 5:23 pm
by FlyingHigh
Eagles2014 wrote:Booney wrote:PatowalongaPirate wrote:Eagles2014 wrote:Without checking stats, there always seems to be one close Prelim and one blow out.
Then the following week the team that scrapes thru with the tough Prelim goes on to be Premiers.
See if that theory comes true

Sydney scraped through a Prelim last year and got smoked in the GF lol.
2019
GWS won prelim by 4 point
GWS lost GF by 89 points
2022
Sydney won prelim by 1 point
Sydney lost GF by 81 points
OK, did some checking from last 10 years to check my memory.
These two seasons are the only ones that went the other way. Four years there was no close Prelims.
But four of the last ten years my theory stands up.
2020 Richmond (6 points) beat Geelong
2016 Bulldogs (6 points) beat Sydney
2014 Hawthorn (3 points) beat Sydney
2013 Hawthorn (5 points) beat Fremantle
Plenty of other examples where the team which has struggled through or had it's backs to the wall at some stage in the prelim has come through and won the final:
Adelaide 1997
Port 2004
West Coast 2006
Geelong 2007
2003 Brisbane and 2005 Sydney, scores were close at three quarter time of the prelim
2000, 2009, 2011 & 2012 are some the other way over the last 25 years
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 5:26 pm
by FlyingHigh
Brisbane comfortably.
Collingwood. GWS have a chance if they can tidy up that one fumble or one handball too many when they are moving through the middle, and they got away with it against lesser opposition than the pies.
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 6:11 pm
by PatowalongaPirate
My Friday Forecast -
* Toby Green kicks 4
* Tom Green has leather poisoning
* Maynard exudes flog behaviour
* Umpires favour Collingwood, but the boos ring out
* Nick Daicos returns in fine form
* Collingwood by 22pts
* Attendance 96,548
*My Friday Forecasts have been more like a kiss of death this season.
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 6:26 pm
by locky801
Gut feeling GWS might just cause a boil over
Lions by plenty
back to my beers in he Cobar pub
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 6:42 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
Well I thought tonight would be the pick of the 2 matches.
Thought GWS capable of an upset.
But more I think about it the more I see Collingwood winning by an easy 7 goals
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 6:43 pm
by Booney
PatowalongaPirate wrote:My Friday Forecast -
* Toby Green kicks 4
* Tom Green has leather poisoning
* Maynard exudes flog behaviour
* Umpires favour Collingwood, but the boos ring out
* Nick Daicos returns in fine form
* Collingwood by 22pts
* Attendance 96,548
*My Friday Forecasts have been more like a kiss of death this season.
Point 3 not hard to forecast.
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 6:44 pm
by Wedgie
How will Toby Greene go though?
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 8:04 pm
by PatowalongaPirate
Wedgie wrote:How will Toby Greene go though?
I think he'll play well, Wedgi.
Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 8:15 pm
by Wedgie
PatowalongaPirate wrote:Wedgie wrote:How will Toby Greene go though?
I think he'll play well, Wedgi.
Agreed Pirat

Re: Preliminary Finals

Posted:
Fri Sep 22, 2023 8:19 pm
by tigerpie
Looking forward to this game.
Atmosphere is electric.