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ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 11:19 am
by dogs01
Here are the opening odds for this years flag from sportsbet.

What do people think, are these odds close to the mark or not?

Central District 2.75
Norwood 4.50
Glenelg 5.00
Sturt 7.00
Eagles 9.00
North Adelaide 9.00
Port Adelaide Magpies 11.00
West Adelaide 26.00
South Adelaide 34.00

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 11:25 am
by whufc
Norwood $4.50 :shock:

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:23 pm
by Barto
Which Sportsbet? Got a link?

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:33 pm
by whufc
I think i will wait to Centrals loose a few games early and everyone writes them off, then ill jump on at $5's

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:40 pm
by Wedgie
Barto wrote:Which Sportsbet? Got a link?

Our sponsor mate, sportsbet.com.au

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:51 pm
by mighty_tiger_79
norwood $4.50 :shock: :shock:

WTF is that all about?????? :? :?

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 12:59 pm
by whufc
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:norwood $4.50 :shock: :shock:

WTF is that all about?????? :? :?


I think the inclusions of Campbell, Massie and Jericho are getting rated too highly. These guys played the majority of the year with Norwood last season so thats not going to be where the improvement comes from IMHO.
A few will say they will be better because they are at Norwood full time now but they have been playing with Norwood for over 3 years so i don't think that will make any difference

McGuinness is a gun, Hughes, Lee and Juniper are unproven at both AFL and SANFL level so i have question marks over them.

They won't see as much of Walker as last year either.

I think Norwood will finish either 4th or 3rd at best. A grand final appearance is a bit far off IMHO.

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 1:10 pm
by stampy
west at $26? thats worse than the legs at 7/2!!

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 2:23 pm
by hawkseye
whufc wrote:I think i will wait to Centrals loose a few games early and everyone writes them off, then ill jump on at $5's

Good idea, me too

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:00 pm
by 71/72
Also Sturt at $7 is way too short.
Sportsbet don't give much away at the best of times but as much as I think Norwood will be around the mark $4.50 is a bit out there.

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:22 pm
by Bluedemon
i will be happy to put that money on for Sturt. Norwoods odds do surprise me.

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:35 pm
by eaglehaslanded
$9 for the Eagles is a little short for mine.

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 5:32 pm
by leggies
whufc wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:norwood $4.50 :shock: :shock:

WTF is that all about?????? :? :?


I think the inclusions of Campbell, Massie and Jericho are getting rated too highly. These guys played the majority of the year with Norwood last season so thats not going to be where the improvement comes from IMHO.
A few will say they will be better because they are at Norwood full time now but they have been playing with Norwood for over 3 years so i don't think that will make any difference

McGuinness is a gun, Hughes, Lee and Juniper are unproven at both AFL and SANFL level so i have question marks over them.

They won't see as much of Walker as last year either.

I think Norwood will finish either 4th or 3rd at best. A grand final appearance is a bit far off IMHO.


I agree with the Norwood odds of $4.50 surprising me a little, however Massie didnt play much last year and the other two definitely weren't at the parade all year. Be interesting to see how much Walker plays, I'm not sure if he will play at adelaide as much as everyone is anticipating. McGuiness and Hughes will def be handy.

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 6:06 pm
by Sojourner
Surprised that they dont rate North very highly......?

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 6:16 pm
by 71/72
I reckon $9 is about right at this time of the year for North.

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 6:24 pm
by locky801
71/72 wrote:I reckon $9 is about right at this time of the year for North.


I'll wait till they blow out to 15 or 20 bucks then make a killing :roll: :roll: :roll:

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 7:08 pm
by JAS
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:norwood $4.50 :shock: :shock:

WTF is that all about?????? :? :?


Knew it wouldn't be long before I could use it again ;) ...

Image

Regards
JAS

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 7:47 pm
by Pseudo
Get on Central now while they're still paying better than evens.

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 8:56 pm
by topsywaldron
whufc wrote:
mighty_tiger_79 wrote:Campbell, Massie and Jericho are getting rated too highly. These guys played the majority of the year with Norwood last season.


Has anyone got the facts to show the ludicrousness of the above statement?

From my admittedly poor recollection, Mass might have played two and Jericho and Campbell a handful each.

Re: ODDS FOR THIS YEARS PREMIERSHIP

PostPosted: Sat Feb 14, 2009 9:51 pm
by Dutchy
Maybe they have already rec'd a big bet on Norwood thats why they are so short? Odds are not always what bookies think but some are determined by weight of $$$

from looking at that Glenelg and Eagles are value